Too bad you are misrepresenting the issue.
Imagine you have a rash and you want to eliminate it before it spreads all over your body. You debate over two options on addressing the issue: you can use a less powerful, safer skin ointment that may eliminate the rash - or you can use a powerful steroid that will definitely kill the rash but may damage the skin permanently and surrounding areas. You opt to use the less powerful skin ointment first because it is safer and can be effective. However it has been 10 of the recommended 14 day use and it still hasnât worked. You continue use for the remaining 4 days, but are willing to use the steroid at the end of the 14 days if necessary. That is not ignoring the problem and that is where we are now.
I wasnât misrepresenting anything. I wasnât trying to provide an analogy for the situation, I was providing one for your argument.
You just changed your argument: before, you were arguing that sanctions would count as ânot ignoring the issueâ simply because they have worked in the past. That means that they would count as ânot ignoring the issueâ indefinitely.
Your new argument is that the reason why Obama isnât ignoring the issue is because sanctions could still work. You are conceding that there will come a time when we will finally be able to say that sanctions wonât work, and we will have to look for a different solution.
However, in your ointment example, there is an objectively determined timeline on how long it should take for the ointment to work. You havenât provided such a timeline for how long it should take for sanctions to work. That makes your analogy invalid, until you do. Until then, an honest analogy should contain no mention of the ointment coming with a recommendation of waiting for a specific amount of time.
So, please tell me, when will you concede that by sitting around waiting for the sanctions to work, Obama is ignoring the issue? According to Netanyahuâs idiot-proof drawing from a couple of weeks ago, Iran is 90% there. Do you really think theyâll stop now, that theyâre so close, because of the same sanctions that havenât stopped them back when they were only 50% done? Do you have a reason for thinking that?
Itâs a simple question: All you have to do is take a red pen, and draw your own red line onto this image:
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And please donât say thatâs an oversimplification. Progress is measured by a function that has one imput and one output. Thatâs the exact level of complexity required to measure it. That picture is the exact level of complexity required to represent progress towards building a nuclear weapon.