I know that many Objectivists share my enthusiasm for the Manned Mission to Mars (MMM) that President Bush announced in 2004.
Credit where it’s due: Bush came up with a good basis for the long-term colonization of the Solar System, not merely a manned mission to Mars.
I’d be a great deal more enthusiastic about it were it not for NASA. Since Apollo, NASA has been little more than one great disappointment after another in the area of manned flights. The Shuttle, after all, was supposed to make space travel cheaper and nearly routine. Instead it’s ht emost expensive launch vehicle ever conceived.
I admit some of the problems with the Shuttle were not predictable. Therefore I won’t bring them up. But some factors that added to the overall operating were predicted. Overall, in true bureaucratic fashion, immediate lower development costs were preferred to long-term higher operating costs. A range of the moment mentality indeed.
That actually gives me the shivers when thinking what the bureaucracy will do to the propposed Lunar and Martian ships.
It was the bureaucrats, too, who disregarded again and again the engineers’ warnings about Challenger and Columbia. Even after NASA knew a big piece of foam had struck Columbia’s wing, efforts to gauge the dammage were quashed (reading about it reminded me of the tunnel sequence in AS).
As for the Space Station, I find it too depresing to even argue about it.
On the plus side, a better kind of space industry is taking its first steps. There’s Burt Ruttan and Richard Branson, of course, but there are others, too. Elon Musk, an internet millionaire, founded Space X, which is nearing its first orbital launch (unmanned, but you have to start somewhere):
http://www.spacex.com/
One of Space X’s clients is Bigelow Aerospace, owned by motel magnate Robert bigelow. This company is developing, and building, short-term space habitat modules. It also set up America’s Space Prize, which will award $50 million for two consecutive manned orbital flights.
http://www.bigelowaerospace.com/
Transformational space, set up by a former NASA engineer, is working with NASA to produce a backup for the new CEV. This company has some innovative ideas for cheaper launch vehicles.
http://www.transformspace.com/
And there are more.
In the short term, NASA could probably reach Mars first. But what will NASA, and the US government, do once they plant the flag, take the pictures, collect the samples and return home? We know what they did once they achieved such things on the Moon.
In the long term, private businesses are out to amke a profit. Space, potentially, can be very profitable. From an abundance of resources, to an abundance of living space (or space than can be made livable, to be precise), to the myriad technological and scientific possibilities inherent in weightlesness, vaccum, temperature extremes, and other conditions easily accessible in the Moon, on Mars, and in orbit, the potential is tremendous.
In the long term, the descendants of the colonists who journey out to Mars, the Moon, the asteroids, the moons of the gas giants, and maybe even to Venus and Mercury, will reap huge profits. They will have literally created whole new worlds. They will have expanded the sphere within which Human beings may live. They will have taken barren lands, chunks of rock, and made them bloom.
But I don’t see that happening at all if we let government lead the way, rather than follow along.
We do need government action in space. For one thing, we know how important clear property right are. There are international treaties that barr ownership of the Moon (at least). But there are also treaties aportioning spaces in geostationary orbits for palcement of comsats.
The US government ought to take the lead in setting up simialr treaties establishing the right of private individuals and businesses to own property on the Moon, Mars and elsewhere. This is not an urgent matter, but it should warrant at least a resolution to make this American policy.
Without such guarantees, everything would become much more difficult. I don’t foresee America, much less anyone else, sending marshalls to enforce a ban on private proeprties on Mars. But I can see Treasury Agents, or the IRS, seizing the assets in America of companies claiming to own properties on Mars, likewise other governments in other parts of the world.
Let government do what it is supposed to do, and stay out of the way of everythign else.