I know in other threads, folks have suggested that oil supply will go on forever, but it won’t. It is a finite resource, one that has been drawn down in Pennsylvania, and Texas, and California, and yes even Alaska. The domestic options for oil are limited in the US. Our best opportunities lay in gains in efficiency.
In the long-term this is a neccessity, but let’s tackle your arguement regarding a finite resource. The arguement that resources are finite is not a valid arguement in itself, finite can define any amount between zero and infinite (I concur with the Objectivists that zero does not exist, but disagree with them regarding the existence of the other concept in metaphysics). Give me some hard numbers on how much oil, in gallons, that you think we have left, and then we can talk facts. Furthermore, from what I’ve read, off-shore oil exploration has alot of promise, of course we’d probably have to either deport or kill some enivornmentalists before we could pull it off. The earth is bleeding oil from the crust under the ocean, it’s ready for the taking, and as it’s numbers are not yet defined the arguement that it is finite is meaningless.
P.S. - How does efficiency help if eventually we will still end up with no oil? It sounds to me like you are trading one allegedly losing situation with one that is equally as flawed, at least by the reasoning I’ve seen here.
Oh no. I see the opposite. The net margins should increase for oil companies, as you’ll have more buyers chasing a smaller supply. The only fair solution to a shortage is the free market. If you want my scarce oil, pay me more than those other guys and it is yours. The greatest need will always rise to the surface as this situation foments. And the big winner is the seller.
There is no disagreement regarding the free market (however, we do not live in a free market so until we do I think my senario is more likely, especially if the Socialist Dems. get hold of Congress and pass some stupid windfall tax on oil profits) , but I think we are seeing two separate realities here, and one of them has to be false. I assert that Alaska, Texas, Pennsylvania, and all the other places you mention are not the only sources of oil at our domestic disposal. Leave us not forget research into more efficient ways to extract oil from shale in Colarado and Utah, and this would represent more an increase in supply and less of that in terms of fuel efficiency. I say again, we can correct shortages without the round sunglasses and Jesus beards.
The one who sells high loses to the person with the mind to get more product out at a cheaper price. Such geniuses as Rockefeller, Carnegie and Dow come to mind when we deal in issues of price trends in the free market. You can continue to open Adam Smith if you wish to mold your predictions on the outcome of the free market, I’ll stick with Bastiat and Von Mises.
BTW this type of situation happens all the time in our Eve universe. At Taggart Transdimensional we get to explore market volatility on a routine basis. Come try the game if this sort of stuff intrigues you.
I may take you up on this, although I do concur with softwareNerd that this is a synthetic take on reality, one that is highly subject to error vis-a-vis *winks at Inspector* human bias in the parameters that the game is defined within.