I for one hope that SK will retaliate with a full scale attack and destroy NK.
How would China feel about a full scale attack? Paranoid much? What would fill the void if the DPRK is “destroyed”?
Don’t wake the cat that sleeps.
They are already at war - formally for the last 50 or so years. The last thing the South wants is to have to go to actual war. It is understandable also: as illustrated in the picture, the North has NOTHING to lose but a petty fiefdom vassal to Beijin. The South has Everything to lose and is governed by more than one person or committee. Furthermore, it is a hyper productive society ruled by a certain corporation or jaebol that has assets in both China and the DPRK - as well as awhole branch and very decisive penetration plan for North Korea.
The South doesn’t want war. China wont allow war. Russia can’t have war. The DPRK can’t defy China (or Russia). Where will War come from? A bug in the chain of command that sets out an unexpected domino effect?
If they went to war the NK population would only feel that they had been preparing and diverting all their food to their tallest soldiers for a reason. The Leadership would be validated.
I hope this will convince them to cease all humanitarian aid to NK and all diplomatic activities. These do nothing but strengthen the totalitarian NK regime.
Yes the aid goes to the soldiers. Yet, are you sure you hope for that to happen? Law of unintended consequences.
I hope the rest of the world does the same. That is, help eliminate NK, and fully morally and otherwise back up South Korea in it’s just cause.
What makes you think the South Koreans want that support?
What would fill the void of NK? Fratricide Guilt-ridden South Koreans backed by American forces a few miles away from Beijin and Vladivostok? Or Chinese troops realizing they have conquered their first territory, expanded, for the first time in 50 years?
Though if NK has nukes, it will probably use them. But I can see no way around that.
There are many ways around that, some are even worse than NKs using them. If you’re not going to give them the benefit of the doubt that they have nukes as a deterrent agent, then at least you might as well consider that they developed nukes as a commercial venture to sell to even crazier parties -
And of course there is an unintended possibility that could begin shaping a new East Asian geopolitical climate. I don’t find it likely as SOuth Koreans don’t want the burden of owning North Korea. This is Huntington’s theory:
North Korea’s government progressively liberalizes (as it happened in every other Asian Communist country), eventually joins South Korea and a new unified hyper-productive Capitalist Korea emerges with inherited Nuclear weapons. That would mean the first non Communist Asian Tiger would become military self-reliant. The American troops would be expelled, and the East Asian Arms race would accelerat e à la 1910 Europe.
Now, conciliatory arguments said; Korea is a tinderbox. I can’t imagine any way in which a war there could be contained within the peninsula.