So I have gotten myself into the middle of a debate with a Psych graduate student from my university about the nature of the bailout. After finally getting past a good deal of arrogant “oh, you little ungrad, just go study some more and then you’ll have the right to talk”, we’ve finally come to some real discussion. I’m having some trouble thinking about how I should attack her position though:
“I do believe people act rationally. That is, to promote their own life and well-being on a long-term scale.”
This is the first point I’d like to hear more about in your argument. It seems to be at the foundation of your assertions. What scientific evidence that this is true do you have? I think if you look any the body of evidence out there you’ll find that actually, it’s overwhelmingly not the case. What we’re discussing here is called, experimentally, delay of reward. You’re asserting, if I understand you, that it is easy for people to delay reward. This is not true. It is oddly difficult for folks to do this. This has been shown repeatedly for both humans and for non-human animals. It is very difficult to put off a small reward today for a big reward in the future. Even in the realm of aversives this is true. Humans will choose a BIG shock right now over a smaller shock to be delivered in the future. Seems dumb, but there it is.
I do believe that humans /can/ behave rationally some small part of the time. But the evidence shows us that very little of our day-to-day behavior is thought out. Instead we use heuristics, short-cuts and respond primarily via physiology and biology.
Applied to every day: Just look at the folks around you. What would they be doing if they were behaving completely rationally? Would they ever smoke? Would they ever get a hangover? Would they ever bounce a check or buy an item when it wasn’t on sale? Would they even live in this town?
A system founded on the premises that humans can behave rationally all or even most of the time is fatally flawed.
Something about this doesn’t sit right with me. I’ve seen the statistics she’s talking about, regarding delay of reward, but it doesn’t seem like a valid conclusion to immediately jump to “because people often don’t delay reward, they are therefore not rational”. It seems almost a fallacious line of reasoning. Anyone?
Now, as for the rest of it, I find it interesting that it was she who took a conversation regarding economics and turned it suddenly into a conversation about whether or not human beings are rational or not. I think she’s showing her true feelings about man: He is incapable of making smart decisions, therefore he is incapable of ruling himself. We must obviously interfere in the lives of others when it is for the benefit of the greater good.
I am sure many people used the same line of reasoning to justify Monarchy.
Also, since I brought up Hong Kong as an example of a mostly laissez-faire economy that has lasted long term, she brought up this:
Oh, and about Hong Kong: how do you feel about the mega gap between rich and poor that many experts feel may soon cause a populist governmental shift in Hong Kong?
I’m very tempted to say that I don’t really consider the gap all that terrible a thing. Am I mistaken?