People are capable of thinking for themselves and if shrinking populations were causing problems then no matter what the culture says about kids, any rational person can disregard the societal message to do what is actually in their best interest. This doesn’t mean each and every rational person who sees the problem has to start breeding like crazy though. Like I said in one of the parts you quoted, let the people who want to raise lots of kids do so and other people can provide financial assistance and the like to enable these people to raise all those kids well when they otherwise may not have been able to. Objectivism isn’t against kids or even lots of kids if somebody can get the rescources for them, it just doesn’t have some commandment that one be a parent.
Well, sure. What might that look like? Perhaps someone would notice a problem and then discuss it with others and each would draw conclusions from that discussion? Perhaps?
Seriously, demographic collapse is a slow process but that doesn’t mean that it’s not real or that it isn’t noticed. As I noted above, Europe is already experiencing the effects, although they are intertwined with the effects of socialism and other social maladies.
Absent believing each and every person is morally obligated to have tons of kids, why might it be that smaller family sizes are more common? Assuming somebody wants kids at all, I think people who support Objectivism tend to have smaller numbers of kids for the same reason that smaller class sizes are typically preferable. Having fewer kids allows one to provide more of their rescources to each of the children that they do have. The parents may not have enough time, money, patience, and attention to divvy up more than a couple of times before some neglect starts to set in out of inability to do otherwise.
All of these are of a kind: time, resources, etc. But whatever the reason we are still left with the effects. These explanations might be valid if Objectivists were generally poor but they are not. Again, relying on anecdotal evidence for lack of better data, my impression is that Objectivists have incomes well above average.
As for the part where I think you were implying people are screwed if they don’t have kids to support them when they get old sans the ultimately doomed socialism, that’s not true. Kids are EXPENSIVE as hell to raise. If one doesn’t have kids then they can use the money that otherwise would have gone to the kids for funding a secure retirement for themselves.
This is certainly one aspect that merits further consideration. It’s not the expense per se that is the issue but, here at least, the choice between relying on kids vs. other retirement options. (Obviously ignoring other positive aspects of having children and simply reducing it to this one choice.)
Some thought experiments might be useful here. One is this: can it be that having children is good for soceity but not good for individuals? If not, how would that look? Or what would happen in a Objectivistopia? (Of Objectivism can only exist in a symbiotic relationship with anti-Objectivism then that’s not a very complete philosophy.)
Is it the case that the modern welfare state has crowded out the natural reasons to have children? There are certainly some aspects that are deliberately so and others that are simply unforseen consequences. But if that is the case, and if the welfare state is unstable then relying on what is rational in such a world may not be a useful guide to what is generally a prudent choice any more than judging the rationality of starting a business in a communist country.
Just for the record though, I know off the top of my head one lady who supports Objectivism who also writes a blog on parenting and she has three kids. So, that’s one case there over two kids, the most you had cited before. ( http://rationaljenn.blogspot.com/ )
“Or it may be that there are individualistic reasons for having children.”
For certain people, yes. Lots of them, really. Just not everybody and typically not in big numbers.
Well, there is one but I stand by my original guestimate and notice that the issue is not simply having a dozen vs. having 2 or three, as significant as that can be, but having some vs. none.