whYNOT Posted September 3, 2020 Report Share Posted September 3, 2020 (edited) Correction, My earlier figures (for the African continent) were wrong, sorry - 1.2 million is the case number in Africa. The most recent figures, the deaths total ~ 30,000. And here's Bill's dire warning for Africa back in Feb: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/02/15/coronovirus-bill-gates-warns-10-million-deaths-virus-spreads/ The epidemiologists have a useful term for their own inflated predictions: "severity bias". Yeah, that helps a lot, thanks. Then the WHO and the UN. Original African estimate 3.3 million, later down-rated to 190,000 - and still way off. https://www.npr.org/2020/06/02/868209675/new-who-model-forecasts-a-different-coronavirus-spread-pattern-in-africa Is this the "expertise" one should trust, or countries base measures on? Edited September 3, 2020 by whYNOT Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted September 4, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 4, 2020 Coronavirus -- HCQ, RCT and politics Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted September 7, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 7, 2020 Coronavirus - remdesivir #2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted September 10, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 10, 2020 Most Obamacare health insurance co-ops shut down Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted September 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 14, 2020 Coronavirus -- NY Times biased statistic #2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted September 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 17, 2020 The Logic of Bell Curve Leftism #1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eiuol Posted September 17, 2020 Report Share Posted September 17, 2020 That book is weird, but so is Sullivan's review. It seems that both of them are somehow stuck thinking that intelligence means IQ. They both miss how the bigger problem is equating grades and test scores with intelligence. Sullivan wants to defend the value of intelligence (and does a bad job at it by the way), but accomplishes that by arguing about school performance and IQ. The book argues about the overvalued of intelligence, but accomplishes that by arguing about school performance and IQ. They both miss the more obvious issue: the tools we used to measure intelligence are a mess and don't measure what we think they measure. The same reason people want to get into Yale for undergrad. It's not that going to Yale means you are smarter than most people. It's just a way to signal your social standing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted September 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 17, 2020 Yesterday I watched most of the video debate here between Yaron Brook and Andrew Sullivan. Sullivan was pretty bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted September 18, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 18, 2020 The Logic of Bell Curve Leftism #2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted September 21, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2020 The Logic of Bell Curve Leftism #3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted September 27, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 27, 2020 Teen: "Math isn't real" Coronavirus - how much infected? #2 A socialist’s view of the self-employed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted September 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 Dependent Rational Animals #1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted October 2, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 2, 2020 Dependent Rational Animals #2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted October 7, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 7, 2020 Dependent Rational Animals #3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted October 10, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 10, 2020 Nobel Laureate on the Morality of Markets The V.P. Debate -- NY Times Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted October 19, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 19, 2020 Black Rednecks and White Liberals #1 Black Rednecks and White Liberals #2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted October 24, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 24, 2020 Wokeness - Andrew Sullvan Hyperbole, truthfulness, half-truths, lying, Donald Trump, Joe Biden Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted October 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 26, 2020 Joe Biden’s public option Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted November 3, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 Science of Nerdiness; Statistics A Metaphysics for Freedom #1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boydstun Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 Looking forward to your further remarks, Merlin, on Helen Steward's A Metaphysics for Freedom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted November 5, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 5, 2020 A Metaphysics for Freedom #2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted November 7, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 7, 2020 A Metaphysics for Freedom #3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MisterSwig Posted November 7, 2020 Report Share Posted November 7, 2020 Is "settling" supposed to explain what goes on between deciding and acting? I'm not sure it helps defeat the determinist, who might argue that one's experience of "settling" a matter oneself is merely an effect of introspecting mental operations. Yes, you settle matters, the determinist might say, but that "settling" itself was caused by factors beyond your control. You're merely introspecting the goings-on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted November 7, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 7, 2020 "The moment of settling is when the agents decides and acts and hence settles the matter in a particular way" (p. 39). This was included in A Metaphysics for Freedom #2. Steward alluded to the determinist hypothesis when she wrote the following that I quoted in #3. "An algorithmic or functionalist view of the earthworm’s behavior can only go so far." But I will look for a more extended passage where she says why she disagrees with determinism. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merjet Posted November 8, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 8, 2020 20 hours ago, MisterSwig said: Yes, you settle matters, the determinist might say, but that "settling" itself was caused by factors beyond your control. You're merely introspecting the goings-on. When I wrote A Metaphysics for Freedom #1 on Nov. 2, I didn’t include much from pages 9-12 in order to emphasize her argument for free will rather than her argument against determinism. This morning I added an addenda to #1 that will hopefully satisfy MisterSwig for the present. MisterSwig 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.